Wednesday, November 26, 2008

2025 to bring a new world order

The global order will shift dramatically over the next two decades as US hegemony wanes and eastern powers emerge as key players in a world that will be increasingly torn by conflicts over land, water and food. By the year 2025, a “massive shift of wealth”, will see China, India and Russia join the United States as major economic powers, according to a report released by the US-based National Intelligence Council. It will also provide opportunities for Gulf countries, such as the UAE, to play a pivotal role in world politics. The 121 page report, entitled Global Trends 2025 — A Transformed World, is intended to provide a basis for policy assessment for the White House and intelligence community. “The unprecedented shift in relative wealth and economic power roughly from West to East now under way will continue,” the report said. “The United States will remain the single most powerful country but will be less dominant.” It also warned of a rise in organised crime, a growing likelihood of nuclear conflict and resource grab as countries try to shore up supplies of scarce commodities. In a world where the US will no longer be able to act unilaterally, the Gulf could see itself in an important position, acting as a bridge between East and West, according to Mark Allworthy, a Dubai-based research analyst for the International Institute for Strategic Studies. “The Gulf countries...............